Why is risk SO hard?

You might begin by asking “who said risk is hard?” Well, for starters, I did! And why would I say such a horrid thing? Let’s begin with a simple question: what is risk? That is, how would YOU define risk? The answers tend to vary, but include...

Knightian uncertainty

In 2004 Alan Greenspan offered the following: “When confronted with uncertainty, especially Knightian uncertainty, human beings invariably attempt to disengage from medium to long-term commitments in favor of safety and liquidity.” I stumbled upon this...

VaR…not as hard as one might think

This past week I spent a day dealing with the single topic of Value at Risk (VaR). This was in a class I’m taking in my doctoral program. Our professor, Aron Gottesman, did a fantastic job showing how VaR isn’t nearly has challenging as one might think. As...
Standard deviation: dispersion vs. risk

Standard deviation: dispersion vs. risk

Standard deviation is a commonly used statistic, well known by many long before they enter the world of performance measurement, which serves multiple purposes and thus engenders confusion.The GIPS 2010 draft proposed a requirement that a 36-month annualized standard...

Outliers on the positive end of the curve

Last night I had the privilege to participate in a panel discussion, organized by Rutgers University Professor Jim Bicksler, at the Dow Jones facility in Princeton, NJ, titled “Investment Principles Revisited.” You’re no doubt not surprised that the...

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