“Be careful out there …”

“Be careful out there …”

You may be old enough to recall the TV show, Hill Street Blues, where the sergeant would, at the start of each shift, tell the police officers to “be careful out there.” Well, we need it said to us, too!I got an email this week with the...
Investment success: skill vs.luck

Investment success: skill vs.luck

I recently finished Michael J. Mauboussin’s newest book, The Success Factor: Untangling Skill and Luck in Business, Sports, and Investing, and strongly recommend it. He raises a great deal of interesting points, and I hope to interview him for The Journal of...

Belief in small numbers

Nobel prize winner Daniel Kahneman, and his long-time colleague, Amos Tversky (who would have been awarded the Nobel Prize, too, but sadly was deceased at the time the prize was awarded), wrote an article for the Psychological Bulletin in 1971 titled “Belief in...

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