Measuring

Methodology, like sex, is better demonstrated than discussed – E.E. Leamer I’m reading Measurement, Design and Analysis by Pedhazur & Schmelkin for a course I’m taking and am finding it quite interesting. While we often address topics such as how...

Ratings, smatings

“When will they ever learn, when will they ever learn.” Okay, so words from an anti-war song perhaps aren’t the most fitting, but what the heck is going on? Moody’s is being accused of continuing to inflate ratings, this time by a former...

Risk without consequences

President Obama spoke this week regarding the improving mood on Wall Street and offered that “Those on Wall Street cannot resume taking risks without regard for consequences, and expect that next time, American taxpayers will be there to break their fall.” I’m...

Why is risk SO hard?

You might begin by asking “who said risk is hard?” Well, for starters, I did! And why would I say such a horrid thing? Let’s begin with a simple question: what is risk? That is, how would YOU define risk? The answers tend to vary, but include...

Knightian uncertainty

In 2004 Alan Greenspan offered the following: “When confronted with uncertainty, especially Knightian uncertainty, human beings invariably attempt to disengage from medium to long-term commitments in favor of safety and liquidity.” I stumbled upon this...

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